Skip to main content
Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？

4月 17

4月 21

4月 24

4月 17

4月 21

4月 24

TWEET COUNT
172
剩餘時間
TWEETS
172
剩餘時間

300-319 34%

320-339 30.4%

340-359 13.9%

280-299 12.5%

Polymarket

$9,449,385 交易量

300-319 34%

320-339 30.4%

340-359 13.9%

280-299 12.5%

Polymarket

$9,449,385 交易量

240-259

$824,483 交易量

<1%

260-279

$511,237 交易量

1%

280-299

$395,235 交易量

13%

300-319

$325,524 交易量

34%

320-339

$417,188 交易量

30%

340-359

$328,859 交易量

14%

360-379

$321,626 交易量

5%

380-399

$293,596 交易量

2%

400-419

$264,551 交易量

1%

420-439

$365,945 交易量

<1%

440-459

$481,489 交易量

<1%

460-479

$341,844 交易量

<1%

480-499

$329,745 交易量

<1%

500-519

$264,243 交易量

<1%

520-539

$266,472 交易量

<1%

540-559

$265,369 交易量

<1%

560-579

$183,737 交易量

<1%

580+

$349,002 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,449,385
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,449,385
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "300-319" at 34%, followed by "320-339" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" has generated $9.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" is "300-319" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "320-339" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月10日至4月17日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.