Trader consensus clusters around 260-319 posts (45.5% implied probability across top three bins) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, reflecting his baseline cadence of 30-40 posts daily amid steady cultural and political engagement, as seen in recent trackers averaging 40-57 per day over prior weeks like April 10-17. Early pace through April 16 aligns with this norm, featuring replies on Disney culture reversals, SpaceX engineering feats, and criminal justice critiques—typical viral moments without event-driven spikes. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations from potential Tesla updates or election buzz, with no major catalysts yet; a quiet news cycle favors moderation, though unexpected feuds could push toward 340+. Resolution tracks official X post counts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於260-279 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 15%
240-259 14%
$3,756,060 交易量
$3,756,060 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
14%
260-279
16%
280-299
16%
300-319
15%
320-339
12%
340-359
6%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 15%
240-259 14%
$3,756,060 交易量
$3,756,060 交易量
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
14%
260-279
16%
280-299
16%
300-319
15%
320-339
12%
340-359
6%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 260-319 posts (45.5% implied probability across top three bins) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 14-21, reflecting his baseline cadence of 30-40 posts daily amid steady cultural and political engagement, as seen in recent trackers averaging 40-57 per day over prior weeks like April 10-17. Early pace through April 16 aligns with this norm, featuring replies on Disney culture reversals, SpaceX engineering feats, and criminal justice critiques—typical viral moments without event-driven spikes. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations from potential Tesla updates or election buzz, with no major catalysts yet; a quiet news cycle favors moderation, though unexpected feuds could push toward 340+. Resolution tracks official X post counts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions