Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 posts by Elon Musk on X at 38.5% implied probability for April 16-18, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting a moderated posting cadence following the prior April 13-15 window that resolved in the 65-89 range after early-month highs averaging 57 daily. This shift stems from sustained but restrained engagement on viral topics like SpaceX infrastructure feats, Tesla FSD Supervised demos, Grok coding tools, and South African policy critiques, without blockbuster catalysts such as earnings or launches to ignite hyperactive streaks. With no confirmed events over the three-day span—spanning Thursday to Saturday—traders anticipate continuation of this 20-30 posts-per-day norm, though a surprise announcement could swing toward higher bins amid Elon's unpredictable social media presence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 39%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$199,595 交易量
$199,595 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
4%
40-64
28%
65-89
39%
90-114
20%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$199,595 交易量
$199,595 交易量
2026-04-18
少於40
$34,622 交易量
4%
40-64
$12,085 交易量
28%
65-89
$6,923 交易量
39%
90-114
$8,545 交易量
20%
115-139
$11,989 交易量
11%
140-164
$11,870 交易量
3%
165-189
$20,649 交易量
1%
190-214
$27,445 交易量
<1%
215-239
$20,537 交易量
<1%
240+
$45,446 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 posts by Elon Musk on X at 38.5% implied probability for April 16-18, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting a moderated posting cadence following the prior April 13-15 window that resolved in the 65-89 range after early-month highs averaging 57 daily. This shift stems from sustained but restrained engagement on viral topics like SpaceX infrastructure feats, Tesla FSD Supervised demos, Grok coding tools, and South African policy critiques, without blockbuster catalysts such as earnings or launches to ignite hyperactive streaks. With no confirmed events over the three-day span—spanning Thursday to Saturday—traders anticipate continuation of this 20-30 posts-per-day norm, though a surprise announcement could swing toward higher bins amid Elon's unpredictable social media presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$199,595結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 posts by Elon Musk on X at 38.5% implied probability for April 16-18, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting a moderated posting cadence following the prior April 13-15 window that resolved in the 65-89 range after early-month highs averaging 57 daily. This shift stems from sustained but restrained engagement on viral topics like SpaceX infrastructure feats, Tesla FSD Supervised demos, Grok coding tools, and South African policy critiques, without blockbuster catalysts such as earnings or launches to ignite hyperactive streaks. With no confirmed events over the three-day span—spanning Thursday to Saturday—traders anticipate continuation of this 20-30 posts-per-day norm, though a surprise announcement could swing toward higher bins amid Elon's unpredictable social media presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$199,595結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 posts by Elon Musk on X at 38.5% implied probability for April 16-18, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting a moderated posting cadence following the prior April 13-15 window that resolved in the 65-89 range after early-month highs averaging 57 daily. This shift stems from sustained but restrained engagement on viral topics like SpaceX infrastructure feats, Tesla FSD Supervised demos, Grok coding tools, and South African policy critiques, without blockbuster catalysts such as earnings or launches to ignite hyperactive streaks. With no confirmed events over the three-day span—spanning Thursday to Saturday—traders anticipate continuation of this 20-30 posts-per-day norm, though a surprise announcement could swing toward higher bins amid Elon's unpredictable social media presence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions