Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日釜山的最高溫度？
7月11日釜山的最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,851 交易量
$33,851 交易量
2026-07-11
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,851 交易量
$33,851 交易量
2026-07-11
27°C或以下
$424 交易量
否
28°C
$452 交易量
否
29°C
$1,115 交易量
否
30°C
$1,311 交易量
否
31°C
$2,417 交易量
否
32°C
$3,707 交易量
否
33°C
$4,446 交易量
否
34°C
$9,284 交易量
是
35°C
$5,280 交易量
否
36°C
$2,118 交易量
否
37°C或以上
$3,298 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$33,851結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,851結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather project Busan’s July 11 daytime maximum near 30–31°C amid typical early-July monsoon transition conditions, with sea breezes off the Korea Strait providing some moderation. This consensus, combined with historical July high distributions centered around 28–31°C, underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Persistent warmth and variable cloud cover could push readings a degree or two higher, while increased precipitation or stronger onshore flow would cap outcomes nearer 32°C. Updated KMA model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions