Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara stabilizing near 14–16°C on September 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological minimum of approximately 14.9°C for the region’s high-plateau continental climate. Recent stability in the regional pressure pattern, absent any advancing cold fronts or significant cloud cover, has reinforced trader confidence that the daily minimum will settle at or very near 14°C, supporting the 90% market-implied probability. Updated model runs through the evening of August 31 showed negligible shifts in the overnight temperature profile, with resolution thresholds centered on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日安卡拉的最低溫度？
9月1日安卡拉的最低溫度？
14°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,048 交易量
$1,048 交易量
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
14°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,048 交易量
$1,048 交易量
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
$25 交易量
否
11°C
$8 交易量
否
12°C
$35 交易量
否
13°C
$35 交易量
否
14°C
$235 交易量
是
15°C
$35 交易量
否
16°C
$20 交易量
否
17°C
$35 交易量
否
18°C
$50 交易量
否
19°C
$280 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$290 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara stabilizing near 14–16°C on September 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological minimum of approximately 14.9°C for the region’s high-plateau continental climate. Recent stability in the regional pressure pattern, absent any advancing cold fronts or significant cloud cover, has reinforced trader confidence that the daily minimum will settle at or very near 14°C, supporting the 90% market-implied probability. Updated model runs through the evening of August 31 showed negligible shifts in the overnight temperature profile, with resolution thresholds centered on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,048結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara stabilizing near 14–16°C on September 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological minimum of approximately 14.9°C for the region’s high-plateau continental climate. Recent stability in the regional pressure pattern, absent any advancing cold fronts or significant cloud cover, has reinforced trader confidence that the daily minimum will settle at or very near 14°C, supporting the 90% market-implied probability. Updated model runs through the evening of August 31 showed negligible shifts in the overnight temperature profile, with resolution thresholds centered on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,048結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara stabilizing near 14–16°C on September 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological minimum of approximately 14.9°C for the region’s high-plateau continental climate. Recent stability in the regional pressure pattern, absent any advancing cold fronts or significant cloud cover, has reinforced trader confidence that the daily minimum will settle at or very near 14°C, supporting the 90% market-implied probability. Updated model runs through the evening of August 31 showed negligible shifts in the overnight temperature profile, with resolution thresholds centered on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions