Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are allowing strong nocturnal radiative cooling across Ankara’s elevated plateau on September 5, 2026, driving the overnight minimum toward 15 °C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and consensus model runs (ECMWF, GFS) project a daytime high near 30 °C followed by a low of 15–16 °C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. With no cloud cover or moisture to retain heat and only modest wind speeds, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out near or slightly below the 15 °C threshold before sunrise on the 6th. This narrow, data-supported range underpins the 85.5 % market-implied probability for 15 °C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold-air advection event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日安卡拉的最低溫度？
9月5日安卡拉的最低溫度？
15°C 99%
14°C 5%
13°C或以下 1.7%
16°C <1%
$1,225 交易量
$1,225 交易量
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
86%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 5%
13°C或以下 1.7%
16°C <1%
$1,225 交易量
$1,225 交易量
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
$129 交易量
2%
14°C
$173 交易量
5%
15°C
$419 交易量
86%
16°C
$133 交易量
<1%
17°C
$97 交易量
<1%
18°C
$35 交易量
<1%
19°C
$35 交易量
<1%
20°C
$35 交易量
<1%
21°C
$63 交易量
<1%
22°C
$63 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$43 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are allowing strong nocturnal radiative cooling across Ankara’s elevated plateau on September 5, 2026, driving the overnight minimum toward 15 °C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and consensus model runs (ECMWF, GFS) project a daytime high near 30 °C followed by a low of 15–16 °C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. With no cloud cover or moisture to retain heat and only modest wind speeds, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out near or slightly below the 15 °C threshold before sunrise on the 6th. This narrow, data-supported range underpins the 85.5 % market-implied probability for 15 °C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold-air advection event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,225結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are allowing strong nocturnal radiative cooling across Ankara’s elevated plateau on September 5, 2026, driving the overnight minimum toward 15 °C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and consensus model runs (ECMWF, GFS) project a daytime high near 30 °C followed by a low of 15–16 °C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. With no cloud cover or moisture to retain heat and only modest wind speeds, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out near or slightly below the 15 °C threshold before sunrise on the 6th. This narrow, data-supported range underpins the 85.5 % market-implied probability for 15 °C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold-air advection event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,225結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETClear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are allowing strong nocturnal radiative cooling across Ankara’s elevated plateau on September 5, 2026, driving the overnight minimum toward 15 °C. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service and consensus model runs (ECMWF, GFS) project a daytime high near 30 °C followed by a low of 15–16 °C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. With no cloud cover or moisture to retain heat and only modest wind speeds, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out near or slightly below the 15 °C threshold before sunrise on the 6th. This narrow, data-supported range underpins the 85.5 % market-implied probability for 15 °C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent an unexpected cold-air advection event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions