**Trader consensus for a 13°C minimum in Ankara on September 6 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and numerical weather models, which consistently project an overnight low of 13–14°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions.** High pressure and radiative cooling overnight have produced stable minimum temperatures matching historical September baselines for the region (around 14–16°C). With the day nearly complete and no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to raise the floor, market-implied odds above 99% align closely with observed trends and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or measurement variation at the primary reporting station, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月6日安卡拉最低溫度？
13°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,796 交易量
$1,796 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
13°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,796 交易量
$1,796 交易量
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$84 交易量
否
11°C
$127 交易量
否
12°C
$133 交易量
否
13°C
$695 交易量
是
14°C
$113 交易量
否
15°C
$263 交易量
否
16°C
$241 交易量
否
17°C
$35 交易量
否
18°C
$20 交易量
否
19°C
$45 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$40 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 13°C minimum in Ankara on September 6 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and numerical weather models, which consistently project an overnight low of 13–14°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions.**
High pressure and radiative cooling overnight have produced stable minimum temperatures matching historical September baselines for the region (around 14–16°C). With the day nearly complete and no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to raise the floor, market-implied odds above 99% align closely with observed trends and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or measurement variation at the primary reporting station, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,796結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 13°C minimum in Ankara on September 6 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and numerical weather models, which consistently project an overnight low of 13–14°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions.**
High pressure and radiative cooling overnight have produced stable minimum temperatures matching historical September baselines for the region (around 14–16°C). With the day nearly complete and no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to raise the floor, market-implied odds above 99% align closely with observed trends and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or measurement variation at the primary reporting station, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,796結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus for a 13°C minimum in Ankara on September 6 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and numerical weather models, which consistently project an overnight low of 13–14°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions.** High pressure and radiative cooling overnight have produced stable minimum temperatures matching historical September baselines for the region (around 14–16°C). With the day nearly complete and no incoming fronts or cloud cover expected to raise the floor, market-implied odds above 99% align closely with observed trends and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or measurement variation at the primary reporting station, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions