**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C low for Jeddah on September 8, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data.** Coastal Red Sea moderation, elevated humidity, and light northwest winds have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above 29°C through the night according to multiple model runs and station reports. September climatology for the region shows typical lows clustered around 28–30°C with little day-to-day variability absent synoptic changes. The strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger onshore flow, or a measurement revision at the primary reporting station that registers 29°C or below before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月8日最低溫度？
吉達9月8日最低溫度？
30°C 100%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$4,741 交易量
$4,741 交易量
2026-09-08
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
30°C 100%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$4,741 交易量
$4,741 交易量
2026-09-08
24°C或以下
$286 交易量
否
25°C
$251 交易量
否
26°C
$136 交易量
否
27°C
$307 交易量
否
28°C
$50 交易量
否
29°C
$30 交易量
否
30°C
$384 交易量
是
31°C
$210 交易量
否
32°C
$0 交易量
否
33°C
$0 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$3,087 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C low for Jeddah on September 8, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data.**
Coastal Red Sea moderation, elevated humidity, and light northwest winds have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above 29°C through the night according to multiple model runs and station reports. September climatology for the region shows typical lows clustered around 28–30°C with little day-to-day variability absent synoptic changes.
The strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger onshore flow, or a measurement revision at the primary reporting station that registers 29°C or below before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,741結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C low for Jeddah on September 8, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data.**
Coastal Red Sea moderation, elevated humidity, and light northwest winds have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above 29°C through the night according to multiple model runs and station reports. September climatology for the region shows typical lows clustered around 28–30°C with little day-to-day variability absent synoptic changes.
The strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger onshore flow, or a measurement revision at the primary reporting station that registers 29°C or below before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,741結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C low for Jeddah on September 8, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data.** Coastal Red Sea moderation, elevated humidity, and light northwest winds have prevented significant overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above 29°C through the night according to multiple model runs and station reports. September climatology for the region shows typical lows clustered around 28–30°C with little day-to-day variability absent synoptic changes. The strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover, a shift to stronger onshore flow, or a measurement revision at the primary reporting station that registers 29°C or below before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions