Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid well below 18°C on September 3, driven by clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of early September. With daytime highs reaching 36–38°C, the large diurnal range allows overnight lows to drop sharply as dry air and minimal cloud cover promote heat loss from the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 17.5°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects confidence in these consistent model projections, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could limit cooling and push the minimum above the threshold. Official station data will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月3日馬德裏最低氣溫？
18°C or below 100%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$4,725 交易量
$4,725 交易量
2026-09-03
18°C or below
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
18°C or below 100%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$4,725 交易量
$4,725 交易量
2026-09-03
18°C or below
$214 交易量
Yes
19°C
$592 交易量
No
20°C
$579 交易量
No
21°C
$2,238 交易量
No
22°C
$147 交易量
No
23°C
$25 交易量
No
24°C
$355 交易量
No
25°C
$375 交易量
No
26°C
$90 交易量
No
27°C
$90 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$20 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid well below 18°C on September 3, driven by clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of early September. With daytime highs reaching 36–38°C, the large diurnal range allows overnight lows to drop sharply as dry air and minimal cloud cover promote heat loss from the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 17.5°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects confidence in these consistent model projections, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could limit cooling and push the minimum above the threshold. Official station data will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,725結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid well below 18°C on September 3, driven by clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of early September. With daytime highs reaching 36–38°C, the large diurnal range allows overnight lows to drop sharply as dry air and minimal cloud cover promote heat loss from the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 17.5°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects confidence in these consistent model projections, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could limit cooling and push the minimum above the threshold. Official station data will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,725結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid well below 18°C on September 3, driven by clear skies, light winds, and efficient radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of early September. With daytime highs reaching 36–38°C, the large diurnal range allows overnight lows to drop sharply as dry air and minimal cloud cover promote heat loss from the surface. Historical averages for the date hover near 17.5°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Trader consensus at 99.6% reflects confidence in these consistent model projections, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could limit cooling and push the minimum above the threshold. Official station data will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions