Persistent southwest monsoon flow and high atmospheric moisture across Metro Manila are sustaining overnight lows near 26–28 °C, consistent with official PAGASA forecasts and multiple model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid conditions. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at 90.5 % because historical August climatology and current observations indicate that radiative cooling is suppressed by dew points above 25 °C and persistent cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further. A realistic shift toward the 25 °C or lower bin would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger radiative cooling than models currently project, though such a drop remains outside the consensus range given the entrenched monsoon pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月22日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
28°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$1,987 交易量
$1,987 交易量
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 99.5%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$1,987 交易量
$1,987 交易量
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
$169 交易量
否
22°C
$165 交易量
否
23°C
$288 交易量
否
24°C
$112 交易量
否
25°C
$60 交易量
否
26°C
$32 交易量
否
27°C
$129 交易量
否
28°C
$186 交易量
是
29°C
$374 交易量
否
30°C
$327 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$145 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and high atmospheric moisture across Metro Manila are sustaining overnight lows near 26–28 °C, consistent with official PAGASA forecasts and multiple model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid conditions. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at 90.5 % because historical August climatology and current observations indicate that radiative cooling is suppressed by dew points above 25 °C and persistent cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further. A realistic shift toward the 25 °C or lower bin would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger radiative cooling than models currently project, though such a drop remains outside the consensus range given the entrenched monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
交易量
$1,987結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and high atmospheric moisture across Metro Manila are sustaining overnight lows near 26–28 °C, consistent with official PAGASA forecasts and multiple model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid conditions. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at 90.5 % because historical August climatology and current observations indicate that radiative cooling is suppressed by dew points above 25 °C and persistent cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further. A realistic shift toward the 25 °C or lower bin would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger radiative cooling than models currently project, though such a drop remains outside the consensus range given the entrenched monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,987結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent southwest monsoon flow and high atmospheric moisture across Metro Manila are sustaining overnight lows near 26–28 °C, consistent with official PAGASA forecasts and multiple model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under cloudy, humid conditions. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at 90.5 % because historical August climatology and current observations indicate that radiative cooling is suppressed by dew points above 25 °C and persistent cloud cover, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further. A realistic shift toward the 25 °C or lower bin would require an unexpected clearing trend or stronger radiative cooling than models currently project, though such a drop remains outside the consensus range given the entrenched monsoon pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions