Recent atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the ECMWF and national meteorological services support the strong market consensus around a 20°C minimum in Milan on August 26. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with observed evening readings near 24–25°C that are forecast to bottom out near this threshold. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this baseline. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction introducing cooler air could realistically push the low below 20°C, though current model runs show low probability for such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月26日米蘭的最低溫度？
20°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,739 交易量
$2,739 交易量
2026-08-26
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,739 交易量
$2,739 交易量
2026-08-26
14°C or below
$225 交易量
No
15°C
$145 交易量
No
16°C
$152 交易量
No
17°C
$55 交易量
No
18°C
$82 交易量
No
19°C
$63 交易量
No
20°C
$318 交易量
Yes
21°C
$292 交易量
No
22°C
$62 交易量
No
23°C
$185 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$1,160 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the ECMWF and national meteorological services support the strong market consensus around a 20°C minimum in Milan on August 26. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with observed evening readings near 24–25°C that are forecast to bottom out near this threshold. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this baseline. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction introducing cooler air could realistically push the low below 20°C, though current model runs show low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,739結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the ECMWF and national meteorological services support the strong market consensus around a 20°C minimum in Milan on August 26. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with observed evening readings near 24–25°C that are forecast to bottom out near this threshold. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this baseline. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction introducing cooler air could realistically push the low below 20°C, though current model runs show low probability for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,739結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the ECMWF and national meteorological services support the strong market consensus around a 20°C minimum in Milan on August 26. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, aligning with observed evening readings near 24–25°C that are forecast to bottom out near this threshold. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this baseline. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind direction introducing cooler air could realistically push the low below 20°C, though current model runs show low probability for such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions