Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook PVI and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. The district spans rural counties in The Thumb along with suburban portions of Macomb and Oakland, areas that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the August 4 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. McClain’s substantial fundraising edge and leadership role as House Republican Conference chair further reinforce trader consensus around a high probability of victory. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or significant scandals could still alter the outcome in a low-probability scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,708 交易量
$33,708 交易量
2026-11-02
麗莎·麥克連（共和黨）
95%
雷·普利（民主黨）
6%
$33,708 交易量
$33,708 交易量
2026-11-02
麗莎·麥克連（共和黨）
$27,141 交易量
95%
雷·普利（民主黨）
$6,567 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook PVI and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. The district spans rural counties in The Thumb along with suburban portions of Macomb and Oakland, areas that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the August 4 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. McClain’s substantial fundraising edge and leadership role as House Republican Conference chair further reinforce trader consensus around a high probability of victory. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or significant scandals could still alter the outcome in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,708結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook PVI and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. The district spans rural counties in The Thumb along with suburban portions of Macomb and Oakland, areas that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the August 4 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. McClain’s substantial fundraising edge and leadership role as House Republican Conference chair further reinforce trader consensus around a high probability of victory. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or significant scandals could still alter the outcome in a low-probability scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,708結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Cook PVI and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 37 points. The district spans rural counties in The Thumb along with suburban portions of Macomb and Oakland, areas that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the August 4 primaries, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. McClain’s substantial fundraising edge and leadership role as House Republican Conference chair further reinforce trader consensus around a high probability of victory. Late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or significant scandals could still alter the outcome in a low-probability scenario.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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