Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight race for first and second place, each near 30 percent, leaving the contest for third among smaller parties. New Zealand First has frequently polled in the 8–12 percent range, often edging or matching the Greens amid volatility in minor-party support, while ACT trails slightly behind in most aggregates. Recent surveys show the Greens occasionally surging above 13 percent but NZ First benefiting from steadier coalition-government visibility and voter fragmentation on the right. The rising Opportunities Party near or above the 5 percent threshold has added uncertainty to seat projections without directly altering the third-place dynamic. With the November election still months away, these trends underpin trader positioning favoring New Zealand First for third place.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.4%
National Party 1.9%
$13,696 交易量
$13,696 交易量
2026-11-06
New Zealand First Party
62%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.4%
National Party 1.9%
$13,696 交易量
$13,696 交易量
2026-11-06
New Zealand First Party
$5,130 交易量
62%
Green Party
$5,603 交易量
37%
ACT New Zealand
$709 交易量
2%
National Party
$415 交易量
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 交易量
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 交易量
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight race for first and second place, each near 30 percent, leaving the contest for third among smaller parties. New Zealand First has frequently polled in the 8–12 percent range, often edging or matching the Greens amid volatility in minor-party support, while ACT trails slightly behind in most aggregates. Recent surveys show the Greens occasionally surging above 13 percent but NZ First benefiting from steadier coalition-government visibility and voter fragmentation on the right. The rising Opportunities Party near or above the 5 percent threshold has added uncertainty to seat projections without directly altering the third-place dynamic. With the November election still months away, these trends underpin trader positioning favoring New Zealand First for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$13,696結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETA general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight race for first and second place, each near 30 percent, leaving the contest for third among smaller parties. New Zealand First has frequently polled in the 8–12 percent range, often edging or matching the Greens amid volatility in minor-party support, while ACT trails slightly behind in most aggregates. Recent surveys show the Greens occasionally surging above 13 percent but NZ First benefiting from steadier coalition-government visibility and voter fragmentation on the right. The rising Opportunities Party near or above the 5 percent threshold has added uncertainty to seat projections without directly altering the third-place dynamic. With the November election still months away, these trends underpin trader positioning favoring New Zealand First for third place.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$13,696結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRecent polling averages place Labour and National in a tight race for first and second place, each near 30 percent, leaving the contest for third among smaller parties. New Zealand First has frequently polled in the 8–12 percent range, often edging or matching the Greens amid volatility in minor-party support, while ACT trails slightly behind in most aggregates. Recent surveys show the Greens occasionally surging above 13 percent but NZ First benefiting from steadier coalition-government visibility and voter fragmentation on the right. The rising Opportunities Party near or above the 5 percent threshold has added uncertainty to seat projections without directly altering the third-place dynamic. With the November election still months away, these trends underpin trader positioning favoring New Zealand First for third place.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於相關
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
47%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
44%
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions