PL maintains a dominant position in the race for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested. Recent statistical models updated through mid-September, incorporating hundreds of state polls, project the party winning the largest share of contested seats and reaching a total bench of roughly 21–22 members. This stems from competitive PL candidates in multiple states, including high-polling names tied to the Bolsonaro movement, combined with alliances that consolidate right-leaning votes. MDB trails as the clearest alternative with stronger historical presence in certain regions but lower projected gains in the current cycle. Other parties, including UNIÃO and PSD, register only marginal prospects in the models. No significant late shifts have altered this hierarchy in the final weeks before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PL 84%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 13.7%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 1.3%
社會民主黨（PSD） <1%
$297,939 交易量
$297,939 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
84%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
14%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
1%
工人黨（PT）
<1%
進步黨（PP）
<1%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
<1%
PODEMOS
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
<1%
PSDB
<1%
PDT
<1%
新黨（NOVO）
<1%
PL 84%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 13.7%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 1.3%
社會民主黨（PSD） <1%
$297,939 交易量
$297,939 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
$261,117 交易量
84%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
$8,969 交易量
14%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
$2,905 交易量
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
$2,678 交易量
1%
工人黨（PT）
$2,976 交易量
<1%
進步黨（PP）
$2,514 交易量
<1%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
$2,364 交易量
<1%
PODEMOS
$2,666 交易量
<1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
$3,483 交易量
<1%
PSDB
$2,591 交易量
<1%
PDT
$2,747 交易量
<1%
新黨（NOVO）
$2,930 交易量
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL maintains a dominant position in the race for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested. Recent statistical models updated through mid-September, incorporating hundreds of state polls, project the party winning the largest share of contested seats and reaching a total bench of roughly 21–22 members. This stems from competitive PL candidates in multiple states, including high-polling names tied to the Bolsonaro movement, combined with alliances that consolidate right-leaning votes. MDB trails as the clearest alternative with stronger historical presence in certain regions but lower projected gains in the current cycle. Other parties, including UNIÃO and PSD, register only marginal prospects in the models. No significant late shifts have altered this hierarchy in the final weeks before voting.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$297,939結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETThe next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL maintains a dominant position in the race for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested. Recent statistical models updated through mid-September, incorporating hundreds of state polls, project the party winning the largest share of contested seats and reaching a total bench of roughly 21–22 members. This stems from competitive PL candidates in multiple states, including high-polling names tied to the Bolsonaro movement, combined with alliances that consolidate right-leaning votes. MDB trails as the clearest alternative with stronger historical presence in certain regions but lower projected gains in the current cycle. Other parties, including UNIÃO and PSD, register only marginal prospects in the models. No significant late shifts have altered this hierarchy in the final weeks before voting.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$297,939結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETPL maintains a dominant position in the race for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats are contested. Recent statistical models updated through mid-September, incorporating hundreds of state polls, project the party winning the largest share of contested seats and reaching a total bench of roughly 21–22 members. This stems from competitive PL candidates in multiple states, including high-polling names tied to the Bolsonaro movement, combined with alliances that consolidate right-leaning votes. MDB trails as the clearest alternative with stronger historical presence in certain regions but lower projected gains in the current cycle. Other parties, including UNIÃO and PSD, register only marginal prospects in the models. No significant late shifts have altered this hierarchy in the final weeks before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions