Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, faces an active police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as a UK trade envoy, but no charges have been filed since his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. The Crown Prosecution Service applies a strict two-stage test for realistic conviction prospects and public interest before any prosecution proceeds, and months of document reviews and searches have not produced charges. Historical patterns show no criminal convictions despite prior civil settlements and Epstein-related scrutiny, while structural factors such as evidentiary thresholds and the absence of a statute of limitations on the offense contribute to trader consensus around a low probability of sentencing. Developments that could shift outcomes include a formal charging decision by prosecutors, new evidence from ongoing assessments of related allegations, or court proceedings leading to conviction on misconduct charges, which carry a maximum life sentence though shorter terms are typical in comparable cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
$221,988 交易量
$221,988 交易量
2026-12-30
是
2% 機率
$221,988 交易量
$221,988 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, faces an active police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as a UK trade envoy, but no charges have been filed since his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. The Crown Prosecution Service applies a strict two-stage test for realistic conviction prospects and public interest before any prosecution proceeds, and months of document reviews and searches have not produced charges. Historical patterns show no criminal convictions despite prior civil settlements and Epstein-related scrutiny, while structural factors such as evidentiary thresholds and the absence of a statute of limitations on the offense contribute to trader consensus around a low probability of sentencing. Developments that could shift outcomes include a formal charging decision by prosecutors, new evidence from ongoing assessments of related allegations, or court proceedings leading to conviction on misconduct charges, which carry a maximum life sentence though shorter terms are typical in comparable cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
交易量
$221,988結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, faces an active police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as a UK trade envoy, but no charges have been filed since his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. The Crown Prosecution Service applies a strict two-stage test for realistic conviction prospects and public interest before any prosecution proceeds, and months of document reviews and searches have not produced charges. Historical patterns show no criminal convictions despite prior civil settlements and Epstein-related scrutiny, while structural factors such as evidentiary thresholds and the absence of a statute of limitations on the offense contribute to trader consensus around a low probability of sentencing. Developments that could shift outcomes include a formal charging decision by prosecutors, new evidence from ongoing assessments of related allegations, or court proceedings leading to conviction on misconduct charges, which carry a maximum life sentence though shorter terms are typical in comparable cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$221,988結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew, faces an active police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as a UK trade envoy, but no charges have been filed since his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. The Crown Prosecution Service applies a strict two-stage test for realistic conviction prospects and public interest before any prosecution proceeds, and months of document reviews and searches have not produced charges. Historical patterns show no criminal convictions despite prior civil settlements and Epstein-related scrutiny, while structural factors such as evidentiary thresholds and the absence of a statute of limitations on the offense contribute to trader consensus around a low probability of sentencing. Developments that could shift outcomes include a formal charging decision by prosecutors, new evidence from ongoing assessments of related allegations, or court proceedings leading to conviction on misconduct charges, which carry a maximum life sentence though shorter terms are typical in comparable cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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