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政治·Swalwell

Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？

Market icon
政治·Swalwell

Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？

是

44% 機率
Polymarket
最新

$16,406 交易量

是

44% 機率
Polymarket
最新

$16,406 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,406
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from the House this week amid sexual misconduct allegations and looming expulsion votes, satisfying half the market's condition for all four lawmakers to depart by May 31. Trader consensus at 56.5% on "No" reflects skepticism that Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL)—facing separate ethics probes over stolen valor claims, assault complaints, and misconduct—will both exit soon, given the two-thirds supermajority required for expulsion and historical rarity of such actions. Speaker Johnson called for Cherfilus-McCormick's ouster, with Rep. Anna Paulina Luna pushing floor votes, but defenses and procedural hurdles temper expectations ahead of potential hearings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,426
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swalwell、Mills、Gonzalez 和 Cherfilus-McCormick 都在5月31日前出局？" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？" is "Swalwell、Mills、Gonzalez 和 Cherfilus-McCormick 都在5月31日前出局？" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Swalwell ， Mills ， Gonzalez和Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日之前全部出局？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.