Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 68.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Senior Democrats including Rep. Jamie Raskin have stated that Trump has committed impeachable acts during his second term and that pursuing articles would not be off-limits if the party secures a majority, citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring Republican-led states, and other policy disputes. A Democratic-led House Judiciary Committee could advance resolutions, as seen with the August 2026 introduction of H.Res. 1486, though any Senate conviction remains unlikely given partisan balance. Traders price the outcome primarily on midterm results and subsequent legislative priorities rather than immediate action under current Republican control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
69% 機率
$102,071 交易量
$102,071 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
是
69% 機率
$102,071 交易量
$102,071 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 68.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Senior Democrats including Rep. Jamie Raskin have stated that Trump has committed impeachable acts during his second term and that pursuing articles would not be off-limits if the party secures a majority, citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring Republican-led states, and other policy disputes. A Democratic-led House Judiciary Committee could advance resolutions, as seen with the August 2026 introduction of H.Res. 1486, though any Senate conviction remains unlikely given partisan balance. Traders price the outcome primarily on midterm results and subsequent legislative priorities rather than immediate action under current Republican control.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$102,071結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 68.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Senior Democrats including Rep. Jamie Raskin have stated that Trump has committed impeachable acts during his second term and that pursuing articles would not be off-limits if the party secures a majority, citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring Republican-led states, and other policy disputes. A Democratic-led House Judiciary Committee could advance resolutions, as seen with the August 2026 introduction of H.Res. 1486, though any Senate conviction remains unlikely given partisan balance. Traders price the outcome primarily on midterm results and subsequent legislative priorities rather than immediate action under current Republican control.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$102,071結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETDemocrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 68.5% implied probability that Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Senior Democrats including Rep. Jamie Raskin have stated that Trump has committed impeachable acts during his second term and that pursuing articles would not be off-limits if the party secures a majority, citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement, federal funding allocations favoring Republican-led states, and other policy disputes. A Democratic-led House Judiciary Committee could advance resolutions, as seen with the August 2026 introduction of H.Res. 1486, though any Senate conviction remains unlikely given partisan balance. Traders price the outcome primarily on midterm results and subsequent legislative priorities rather than immediate action under current Republican control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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