Following the April 25 assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, where suspect Cole Tomas Allen fired shots near a checkpoint targeting President Trump and officials before Secret Service intervention, Trump maintained a subdued public schedule on April 26 amid heightened security. In a CBS 60 Minutes interview aired that day, he recounted the evacuation, criticized media coverage of the assailant's manifesto, and lashed out at anchor Norah O'Donnell, likely uttering signature phrases like "hottest" that drive trader consensus toward near-certainty on verbal markets. No executive orders appeared on White House records, no verified talks with Vladimir Putin occurred per credible reports, and no video evidence emerged of dancing or distinctive attire like a blue tie, reflecting low implied probabilities on those outcomes. Ongoing FBI probe and security reviews could influence resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,517 交易量
2026-04-26
Trump dances
No
Trump signs an executive order
No
Trump wears a blue tie
Yes
Trump says "Hottest"
Yes
Trump talks to Vladimir Putin
No
$13,517 交易量
Trump dances
$1,037 交易量
No
Trump signs an executive order
$3,702 交易量
No
Trump wears a blue tie
$950 交易量
Yes
Trump says "Hottest"
$5,361 交易量
Yes
Trump talks to Vladimir Putin
$2,469 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a blue tie at any point on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the April 25 assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, where suspect Cole Tomas Allen fired shots near a checkpoint targeting President Trump and officials before Secret Service intervention, Trump maintained a subdued public schedule on April 26 amid heightened security. In a CBS 60 Minutes interview aired that day, he recounted the evacuation, criticized media coverage of the assailant's manifesto, and lashed out at anchor Norah O'Donnell, likely uttering signature phrases like "hottest" that drive trader consensus toward near-certainty on verbal markets. No executive orders appeared on White House records, no verified talks with Vladimir Putin occurred per credible reports, and no video evidence emerged of dancing or distinctive attire like a blue tie, reflecting low implied probabilities on those outcomes. Ongoing FBI probe and security reviews could influence resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
市場開放時間： Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$13,517結束日期
2026-04-26市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a blue tie at any point on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the April 25 assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, where suspect Cole Tomas Allen fired shots near a checkpoint targeting President Trump and officials before Secret Service intervention, Trump maintained a subdued public schedule on April 26 amid heightened security. In a CBS 60 Minutes interview aired that day, he recounted the evacuation, criticized media coverage of the assailant's manifesto, and lashed out at anchor Norah O'Donnell, likely uttering signature phrases like "hottest" that drive trader consensus toward near-certainty on verbal markets. No executive orders appeared on White House records, no verified talks with Vladimir Putin occurred per credible reports, and no video evidence emerged of dancing or distinctive attire like a blue tie, reflecting low implied probabilities on those outcomes. Ongoing FBI probe and security reviews could influence resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
交易量
$13,517結束日期
2026-04-26市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Following the April 25 assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, where suspect Cole Tomas Allen fired shots near a checkpoint targeting President Trump and officials before Secret Service intervention, Trump maintained a subdued public schedule on April 26 amid heightened security. In a CBS 60 Minutes interview aired that day, he recounted the evacuation, criticized media coverage of the assailant's manifesto, and lashed out at anchor Norah O'Donnell, likely uttering signature phrases like "hottest" that drive trader consensus toward near-certainty on verbal markets. No executive orders appeared on White House records, no verified talks with Vladimir Putin occurred per credible reports, and no video evidence emerged of dancing or distinctive attire like a blue tie, reflecting low implied probabilities on those outcomes. Ongoing FBI probe and security reviews could influence resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions