Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a unanimous 100% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling at $90–$100 on April 8, aligning precisely with the CME official close of $94.69 per barrel. This ironclad consensus reflects a volatile 16% single-day reversal from peaks above $115, catalyzed by a U.S.-Iran cease-fire deal that defused acute supply disruption risks from recent strikes on Iran's Kharg Island and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Supporting dynamics include OPEC+ signals for April output hikes and EIA-reported U.S. crude inventory builds through late March, tempering bullish pressures. While resolution is all but certain post-settlement, improbable challenges like CME data revisions or force majeure claims could arise, though trader sentiment dismisses them amid projections for $90 stability through Q2.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於90–100 美元 100.0%
低於70美元 <1%
$70–$80 <1%
$80–$90 <1%
$175,855 交易量
$175,855 交易量
2026-04-08
低於70美元
<1%
$70–$80
<1%
$80–$90
<1%
90–100 美元
100%
$100–$110
<1%
110美元以上
<1%
90–100 美元 100.0%
低於70美元 <1%
$70–$80 <1%
$80–$90 <1%
$175,855 交易量
$175,855 交易量
2026-04-08
低於70美元
$6,967 交易量
<1%
$70–$80
$12,548 交易量
<1%
$80–$90
$57,128 交易量
<1%
90–100 美元
$35,765 交易量
100%
$100–$110
$45,837 交易量
<1%
110美元以上
$18,010 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a unanimous 100% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling at $90–$100 on April 8, aligning precisely with the CME official close of $94.69 per barrel. This ironclad consensus reflects a volatile 16% single-day reversal from peaks above $115, catalyzed by a U.S.-Iran cease-fire deal that defused acute supply disruption risks from recent strikes on Iran's Kharg Island and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Supporting dynamics include OPEC+ signals for April output hikes and EIA-reported U.S. crude inventory builds through late March, tempering bullish pressures. While resolution is all but certain post-settlement, improbable challenges like CME data revisions or force majeure claims could arise, though trader sentiment dismisses them amid projections for $90 stability through Q2.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$175,855結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a unanimous 100% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling at $90–$100 on April 8, aligning precisely with the CME official close of $94.69 per barrel. This ironclad consensus reflects a volatile 16% single-day reversal from peaks above $115, catalyzed by a U.S.-Iran cease-fire deal that defused acute supply disruption risks from recent strikes on Iran's Kharg Island and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Supporting dynamics include OPEC+ signals for April output hikes and EIA-reported U.S. crude inventory builds through late March, tempering bullish pressures. While resolution is all but certain post-settlement, improbable challenges like CME data revisions or force majeure claims could arise, though trader sentiment dismisses them amid projections for $90 stability through Q2.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$175,855結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a unanimous 100% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling at $90–$100 on April 8, aligning precisely with the CME official close of $94.69 per barrel. This ironclad consensus reflects a volatile 16% single-day reversal from peaks above $115, catalyzed by a U.S.-Iran cease-fire deal that defused acute supply disruption risks from recent strikes on Iran's Kharg Island and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Supporting dynamics include OPEC+ signals for April output hikes and EIA-reported U.S. crude inventory builds through late March, tempering bullish pressures. While resolution is all but certain post-settlement, improbable challenges like CME data revisions or force majeure claims could arise, though trader sentiment dismisses them amid projections for $90 stability through Q2.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions