OpenAI’s reported preparations for a GPT-5.6 launch this month, including chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s internal description of it as a meaningful improvement over the April-released GPT-5.5, are driving the 66.8% market-implied odds on a June 22–28 release. Recent credible reporting highlights efficiency and safety gains aimed at countering Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google’s Gemini amid a brewing price competition, with leaks and Codex backend signals reinforcing a late-June window. No official announcement has confirmed the timeline, leaving room for the 19.8% chance of delay past June 28 if internal testing or competitive positioning shifts. The negligible 0.1% odds on an immediate June 8–14 rollout reflect the absence of any verified deployment signals as of mid-month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於June 22–June 28 66.7%
Not released by June 28 20.2%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$182,656 交易量
$182,656 交易量
2026-06-28
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
13%
June 22–June 28
67%
Not released by June 28
20%
June 22–June 28 66.7%
Not released by June 28 20.2%
June 15–June 21 13%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$182,656 交易量
$182,656 交易量
2026-06-28
June 8–June 14
$46,026 交易量
<1%
June 15–June 21
$33,519 交易量
13%
June 22–June 28
$25,352 交易量
67%
Not released by June 28
$35,332 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported preparations for a GPT-5.6 launch this month, including chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s internal description of it as a meaningful improvement over the April-released GPT-5.5, are driving the 66.8% market-implied odds on a June 22–28 release. Recent credible reporting highlights efficiency and safety gains aimed at countering Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google’s Gemini amid a brewing price competition, with leaks and Codex backend signals reinforcing a late-June window. No official announcement has confirmed the timeline, leaving room for the 19.8% chance of delay past June 28 if internal testing or competitive positioning shifts. The negligible 0.1% odds on an immediate June 8–14 rollout reflect the absence of any verified deployment signals as of mid-month.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$182,656結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported preparations for a GPT-5.6 launch this month, including chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s internal description of it as a meaningful improvement over the April-released GPT-5.5, are driving the 66.8% market-implied odds on a June 22–28 release. Recent credible reporting highlights efficiency and safety gains aimed at countering Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google’s Gemini amid a brewing price competition, with leaks and Codex backend signals reinforcing a late-June window. No official announcement has confirmed the timeline, leaving room for the 19.8% chance of delay past June 28 if internal testing or competitive positioning shifts. The negligible 0.1% odds on an immediate June 8–14 rollout reflect the absence of any verified deployment signals as of mid-month.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$182,656結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s reported preparations for a GPT-5.6 launch this month, including chief scientist Jakub Pachocki’s internal description of it as a meaningful improvement over the April-released GPT-5.5, are driving the 66.8% market-implied odds on a June 22–28 release. Recent credible reporting highlights efficiency and safety gains aimed at countering Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Google’s Gemini amid a brewing price competition, with leaks and Codex backend signals reinforcing a late-June window. No official announcement has confirmed the timeline, leaving room for the 19.8% chance of delay past June 28 if internal testing or competitive positioning shifts. The negligible 0.1% odds on an immediate June 8–14 rollout reflect the absence of any verified deployment signals as of mid-month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions