President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid the pontiff's calls for de-escalation in the Iran conflict—dominate trader focus as the April 30 deadline approaches, highlighting his pattern of direct public rebukes against critics via social media and speeches. Earlier this month, a profanity-laced rant targeted Iran, underscoring escalating rhetoric on foreign affairs. With two weeks remaining, bettors eye ongoing papal trips to Africa, midterm campaign pressures, and potential new targets like congressional holdouts or media figures, as Trump's unscripted posts often shift feuds rapidly. No major insults reported in the prior two weeks, keeping odds fluid on likely recipients.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$73,186 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬
67%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
50%

基爾·斯塔默
43%

利奧十四世教宗
44%

塔克·卡爾森
31%

梅根·凱利
29%

亞歷克斯·瓊斯
14%

潘·邦迪
7%

班傑明·納坦雅胡
6%

伊隆·馬斯克
4%

維克多·歐爾班
4%

弗拉基米爾·普丁
3%

J.D.范斯
3%

習近平
2%

梅拉尼婭·川普
2%

坎迪絲·歐文斯
43%
$73,186 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬
67%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
50%

基爾·斯塔默
43%

利奧十四世教宗
44%

塔克·卡爾森
31%

梅根·凱利
29%

亞歷克斯·瓊斯
14%

潘·邦迪
7%

班傑明·納坦雅胡
6%

伊隆·馬斯克
4%

維克多·歐爾班
4%

弗拉基米爾·普丁
3%

J.D.范斯
3%

習近平
2%

梅拉尼婭·川普
2%

坎迪絲·歐文斯
43%
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid the pontiff's calls for de-escalation in the Iran conflict—dominate trader focus as the April 30 deadline approaches, highlighting his pattern of direct public rebukes against critics via social media and speeches. Earlier this month, a profanity-laced rant targeted Iran, underscoring escalating rhetoric on foreign affairs. With two weeks remaining, bettors eye ongoing papal trips to Africa, midterm campaign pressures, and potential new targets like congressional holdouts or media figures, as Trump's unscripted posts often shift feuds rapidly. No major insults reported in the prior two weeks, keeping odds fluid on likely recipients.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions