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世界·俄羅斯

俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？

Market icon
世界·俄羅斯

俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？

12月 31

12月 31

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$10,639 交易量

是

9% 機率
Polymarket

$10,639 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, reflecting entrenched geopolitical isolation due to its 2014 Crimea annexation—prompting suspension from the former G8—and the 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Recent G7 foreign ministers' meetings in France (late March 2026) reaffirmed transatlantic unity, demanding Russia end aggression, lift export restrictions, and face sustained sanctions, while prioritizing Ukraine aid and security guarantees with no readmission signals. Explicit rejections of past U.S. proposals underscore consensus barriers among Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and U.S., amid ongoing military escalation and diplomatic standoffs that make reintegration implausible absent major de-escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,639
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, reflecting entrenched geopolitical isolation due to its 2014 Crimea annexation—prompting suspension from the former G8—and the 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Recent G7 foreign ministers' meetings in France (late March 2026) reaffirmed transatlantic unity, demanding Russia end aggression, lift export restrictions, and face sustained sanctions, while prioritizing Ukraine aid and security guarantees with no readmission signals. Explicit rejections of past U.S. proposals underscore consensus barriers among Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and U.S., amid ongoing military escalation and diplomatic standoffs that make reintegration implausible absent major de-escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,639
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "俄羅斯會在2027年前重新加入七國集團（G7）嗎？" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" is "俄羅斯會在2027年前重新加入七國集團（G7）嗎？" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "俄羅斯會在2027年之前重新加入G7嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.