Riley Moore holds a commanding lead in the WV-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican performance, including a Cook PVI of R+20 and the incumbent’s 70.8% victory in 2024. Moore secured the nomination without primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.3 million compared with Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Parsi advanced from a competitive May 2026 Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by more than 30 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$97,548 交易量
$97,548 交易量
2026-11-02
萊利·摩爾（共和黨）
95%
艾斯·帕西（民主黨）
2%
$97,548 交易量
$97,548 交易量
2026-11-02
萊利·摩爾（共和黨）
$69,113 交易量
95%
艾斯·帕西（民主黨）
$28,435 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore holds a commanding lead in the WV-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican performance, including a Cook PVI of R+20 and the incumbent’s 70.8% victory in 2024. Moore secured the nomination without primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.3 million compared with Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Parsi advanced from a competitive May 2026 Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by more than 30 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$97,548結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore holds a commanding lead in the WV-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican performance, including a Cook PVI of R+20 and the incumbent’s 70.8% victory in 2024. Moore secured the nomination without primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.3 million compared with Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Parsi advanced from a competitive May 2026 Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by more than 30 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$97,548結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRiley Moore holds a commanding lead in the WV-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican performance, including a Cook PVI of R+20 and the incumbent’s 70.8% victory in 2024. Moore secured the nomination without primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.3 million compared with Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Parsi advanced from a competitive May 2026 Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by more than 30 points. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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