Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$97,548 交易量
$97,548 交易量
2026-11-02
萊利·摩爾（共和黨）
96%
艾斯·帕西（民主黨）
2%
$97,548 交易量
$97,548 交易量
2026-11-02
萊利·摩爾（共和黨）
$69,113 交易量
96%
艾斯·帕西（民主黨）
$28,435 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$97,548結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$97,548結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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