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2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者

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2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者

自由-自由与民主(LIBRE) 36%

争取社会主义运动(MAS-IPSP) 19%

统一阵线(UNIDAD) 10%

人民联盟(AP) 10%

Polymarket
NEW

自由-自由与民主(LIBRE) 36%

争取社会主义运动(MAS-IPSP) 19%

统一阵线(UNIDAD) 10%

人民联盟(AP) 10%

Polymarket
NEW
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自由-自由与民主(LIBRE)

$0 交易量

36%

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争取社会主义运动(MAS-IPSP)

$0 交易量

19%

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统一阵线(UNIDAD)

$177 交易量

18%

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人民联盟(AP)

$0 交易量

10%

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基督教民主党(PDC)

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

玻利维亚自治联盟-苏马特(APB Súmate)

$0 交易量

6%

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.

A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.

This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$177
结束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"自由-自由与民主(LIBRE)",概率为 36%,其次是"争取社会主义运动(MAS-IPSP)",概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 36¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 36%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 6, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者"的当前领先者是"自由-自由与民主(LIBRE)",概率为 36%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 36%。紧随其后的结果是"争取社会主义运动(MAS-IPSP)",概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年玻利维亚州长选举:政党获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。