The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱德华多·韦洛索 46%
马尔西奥·比塔尔 40%
Petecão 39%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱德华多·韦洛索
46%
马尔西奥·比塔尔
40%
Petecão
39%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授
38%
Gladson Camelí
38%
若热·维亚纳
37%
小菲托萨博士
37%
玛拉·罗查
37%
爱德华多·韦洛索 46%
马尔西奥·比塔尔 40%
Petecão 39%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
爱德华多·韦洛索
$0 交易量
46%
马尔西奥·比塔尔
$0 交易量
40%
Petecão
$0 交易量
39%
伊纳西奥·莫雷拉教授
$0 交易量
38%
Gladson Camelí
$0 交易量
38%
若热·维亚纳
$0 交易量
37%
小菲托萨博士
$0 交易量
37%
玛拉·罗查
$0 交易量
37%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate election for first place features a fragmented field of more than two dozen contenders, producing tight trader-implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 50%. This positioning reflects the absence of a clear frontrunner after recent party conventions and coalition talks, with established names such as Petecão, Gladson Cameli, Mara Rocha, and Jorge Viana drawing comparable support from distinct regional bases. Factors sustaining the balance include Acre's multi-party dynamics, ongoing negotiations over alliances for the 2026 ballot, and voter priorities around Amazon-region infrastructure and federal transfers. Scheduled alliance deadlines and any late endorsements in the coming months could consolidate backing and widen gaps among the top group.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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