Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, reflecting a closely contested race amid recent secondary market shifts. Driving this sentiment, venture capitalists have flooded Anthropic with unsolicited offers valuing it up to $800 billion—more than double its February $380 billion primary round—fueled by annualized revenue exploding to $30 billion on surging Claude Code adoption among enterprises, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion run-rate. OpenAI's $852 billion March mega-round faces secondary market discounts and softening demand, while Anthropic's faster growth and October IPO preparations position it as the momentum leader ahead of mutual public listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, reflecting a closely contested race amid recent secondary market shifts. Driving this sentiment, venture capitalists have flooded Anthropic with unsolicited offers valuing it up to $800 billion—more than double its February $380 billion primary round—fueled by annualized revenue exploding to $30 billion on surging Claude Code adoption among enterprises, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion run-rate. OpenAI's $852 billion March mega-round faces secondary market discounts and softening demand, while Anthropic's faster growth and October IPO preparations position it as the momentum leader ahead of mutual public listings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, reflecting a closely contested race amid recent secondary market shifts. Driving this sentiment, venture capitalists have flooded Anthropic with unsolicited offers valuing it up to $800 billion—more than double its February $380 billion primary round—fueled by annualized revenue exploding to $30 billion on surging Claude Code adoption among enterprises, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion run-rate. OpenAI's $852 billion March mega-round faces secondary market discounts and softening demand, while Anthropic's faster growth and October IPO preparations position it as the momentum leader ahead of mutual public listings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, reflecting a closely contested race amid recent secondary market shifts. Driving this sentiment, venture capitalists have flooded Anthropic with unsolicited offers valuing it up to $800 billion—more than double its February $380 billion primary round—fueled by annualized revenue exploding to $30 billion on surging Claude Code adoption among enterprises, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion run-rate. OpenAI's $852 billion March mega-round faces secondary market discounts and softening demand, while Anthropic's faster growth and October IPO preparations position it as the momentum leader ahead of mutual public listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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