French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,322 交易量
87%
民主党
$5,930 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$8,252结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,252结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...French Hill, the Republican incumbent since 2015, secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District and faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November general election. The district's R+8 partisan voting index, combined with its post-2020 redistricting that reduced competitiveness around Little Rock, has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Jones's nomination follows his 2022 gubernatorial run, but the seat's structural Republican tilt and Hill's established fundraising and name recognition limit Democratic prospects. No major late-cycle shifts, such as scandals or polling swings, have altered the race's Solid Republican rating from forecasters. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome reflects these entrenched district dynamics ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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