Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,030 交易量
$11,030 交易量
2026-11-03
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯（共和党）
97%
弗雷德里克·洛夫（民主党）
2%
$11,030 交易量
$11,030 交易量
2026-11-03
莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯（共和党）
$9,454 交易量
97%
弗雷德里克·洛夫（民主党）
$1,576 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$11,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,030结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETIncumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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