Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in repeated statewide victories and Donald Trump's large 2024 margin, drives trader consensus favoring Marsha Blackburn for governor. The U.S. senator secured the GOP nomination in the August primary over U.S. Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts, replacing term-limited incumbent Bill Lee. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city councilmember, remains the clear underdog despite a mid-September poll showing her within single digits on the initial ballot test. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican. A major scandal, health event for the frontrunner, or unusually strong independent performance could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
玛莎·布莱克本(共和党)
96%

杰里·格林(民主党)
3%

玛莎·布莱克本(共和党)
96%

杰里·格林(民主党)
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Tennessee's strong Republican tilt, reflected in repeated statewide victories and Donald Trump's large 2024 margin, drives trader consensus favoring Marsha Blackburn for governor. The U.S. senator secured the GOP nomination in the August primary over U.S. Rep. John Rose and state Rep. Monty Fritts, replacing term-limited incumbent Bill Lee. Democratic nominee Jerri Green, a Memphis city councilmember, remains the clear underdog despite a mid-September poll showing her within single digits on the initial ballot test. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican. A major scandal, health event for the frontrunner, or unusually strong independent performance could narrow the gap before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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