Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 2026 primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96.3 percent. Tennessee's electoral environment, including strong support among key voting blocs and limited Democratic infrastructure, has historically produced wide margins in Senate contests. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's primary victory sets up a rematch of the 2020 race, where similar structural factors prevailed. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, the current absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals leaves few pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,802 交易量
$28,802 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
$28,802 交易量
$28,802 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$18,939 交易量
96%
民主党
$9,864 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 2026 primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96.3 percent. Tennessee's electoral environment, including strong support among key voting blocs and limited Democratic infrastructure, has historically produced wide margins in Senate contests. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's primary victory sets up a rematch of the 2020 race, where similar structural factors prevailed. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, the current absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals leaves few pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$28,802结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 2026 primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96.3 percent. Tennessee's electoral environment, including strong support among key voting blocs and limited Democratic infrastructure, has historically produced wide margins in Senate contests. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's primary victory sets up a rematch of the 2020 race, where similar structural factors prevailed. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, the current absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals leaves few pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$28,802结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty's unopposed August 2026 primary win and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96.3 percent. Tennessee's electoral environment, including strong support among key voting blocs and limited Democratic infrastructure, has historically produced wide margins in Senate contests. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw's primary victory sets up a rematch of the 2020 race, where similar structural factors prevailed. While late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, the current absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals leaves few pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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