Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 3, 2026, general election after both secured their party nominations in the August 6 primaries, with Hagerty running unopposed. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or significant Democratic momentum have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors in the state make such shifts improbable based on recent electoral history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,759 交易量
$28,759 交易量

共和党
96%

民主党
2%
$28,759 交易量
$28,759 交易量

共和党
96%

民主党
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 3, 2026, general election after both secured their party nominations in the August 6 primaries, with Hagerty running unopposed. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or significant Democratic momentum have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas could narrow the margin, though structural factors in the state make such shifts improbable based on recent electoral history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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