Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting history and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points, supporting incumbent Diana Harshbarger's commanding position after her unopposed August 6 primary win. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5 percent because the seat has remained in GOP hands since the 19th century, with the party routinely exceeding 70 percent in general elections and Democratic challengers facing structural headwinds in turnout and fundraising. The recent Democratic primary produced a nominee but no polling shift or notable endorsement has altered the fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, significant health issues, or a broader national realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats show limited volatility this close to November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,696 交易量
$19,696 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$19,696 交易量
$19,696 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$14,424 交易量
95%
民主党
$5,272 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting history and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points, supporting incumbent Diana Harshbarger's commanding position after her unopposed August 6 primary win. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5 percent because the seat has remained in GOP hands since the 19th century, with the party routinely exceeding 70 percent in general elections and Democratic challengers facing structural headwinds in turnout and fundraising. The recent Democratic primary produced a nominee but no polling shift or notable endorsement has altered the fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, significant health issues, or a broader national realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats show limited volatility this close to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$19,696结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting history and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points, supporting incumbent Diana Harshbarger's commanding position after her unopposed August 6 primary win. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5 percent because the seat has remained in GOP hands since the 19th century, with the party routinely exceeding 70 percent in general elections and Democratic challengers facing structural headwinds in turnout and fundraising. The recent Democratic primary produced a nominee but no polling shift or notable endorsement has altered the fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, significant health issues, or a broader national realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats show limited volatility this close to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,696结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its voting history and 2024 presidential margin exceeding 29 points, supporting incumbent Diana Harshbarger's commanding position after her unopposed August 6 primary win. Traders price Republican victory at 94.5 percent because the seat has remained in GOP hands since the 19th century, with the party routinely exceeding 70 percent in general elections and Democratic challengers facing structural headwinds in turnout and fundraising. The recent Democratic primary produced a nominee but no polling shift or notable endorsement has altered the fundamentals. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, significant health issues, or a broader national realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats show limited volatility this close to November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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