Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于GERB-SDS 95.8%
PP–DB 2.5%
PB <1%
DPS <1%
$61,094 交易量
$61,094 交易量
2026-04-19
GERB-SDS
96%
PP–DB
2%
PB
<1%
DPS
<1%
维利切
<1%
复兴党
<1%
保加利亚社会党
<1%
有这样的人民党
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 95.8%
PP–DB 2.5%
PB <1%
DPS <1%
$61,094 交易量
$61,094 交易量
2026-04-19
GERB-SDS
$25,683 交易量
96%
PP–DB
$8,658 交易量
2%
PB
$9,755 交易量
<1%
DPS
$1,604 交易量
<1%
维利切
$2,145 交易量
<1%
复兴党
$2,132 交易量
<1%
保加利亚社会党
$2,002 交易量
<1%
有这样的人民党
$2,145 交易量
<1%
APS
$3,977 交易量
<1%
MECh
$2,992 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
交易量
$61,094结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$61,094结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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