California's 4th Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, top-two primary under the state's nonpartisan system, with incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district reshaped by prior redistricting that incorporated additional rural counties. Early and partial returns show Thompson leading at roughly 39%, followed by Republican Ray Riehle near 22% and Democrat Eric Jones near 21%, with remaining Republican candidates splitting the rest of the vote. Trader consensus on the primary winners market reflects Thompson's strong incumbency position and expected advancement alongside one other candidate, while Jones trails closely enough that outstanding ballots could shift the second slot. The general election matchup will be set once full results are certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,455 交易量
迈克·汤普森
100%
Eric Jones
80%
莎伦·布朗
5%
劳丽·麦肯齐
1%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
$44,455 交易量
迈克·汤普森
100%
Eric Jones
80%
莎伦·布朗
5%
劳丽·麦肯齐
1%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
<1%
希斯·富克森
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, top-two primary under the state's nonpartisan system, with incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district reshaped by prior redistricting that incorporated additional rural counties. Early and partial returns show Thompson leading at roughly 39%, followed by Republican Ray Riehle near 22% and Democrat Eric Jones near 21%, with remaining Republican candidates splitting the rest of the vote. Trader consensus on the primary winners market reflects Thompson's strong incumbency position and expected advancement alongside one other candidate, while Jones trails closely enough that outstanding ballots could shift the second slot. The general election matchup will be set once full results are certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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