Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,131 交易量
2026-06-02
迈克·汤普森
99%
Eric Jones
91%
希斯·富克森
11%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
11%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
9%
莎伦·布朗
7%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
劳丽·麦肯齐
5%
$22,131 交易量
迈克·汤普森
$6,602 交易量
99%
Eric Jones
$4,475 交易量
91%
希斯·富克森
$315 交易量
11%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
$6,994 交易量
11%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
$670 交易量
9%
莎伦·布朗
$1,621 交易量
7%
Mandy Ghusar
$744 交易量
6%
劳丽·麦肯齐
$710 交易量
5%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$22,131结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,131结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by his long tenure since 1998, endorsement from the Democratic Party of California, and $2.6 million cash on hand as of late March fundraising reports. Challenger Eric Jones (D), a former executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads receipts at $3.2 million, positioning him as a generational contrast appealing to younger voters amid post-redistricting shifts from Proposition 50 that narrowed the district's Democratic lean (Kamala Harris won 55.8% in 2024). A fragmented Republican field of six candidates risks vote-splitting, potentially allowing both Democrats to advance; ballots mail May 4, with no public polls yet available. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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