Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 93.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by his April 4 confirmation as the Democratic Party of Korea candidate after defeating Noh Yeong-min in a runoff, bolstering party unity and momentum amid national polls showing opposition strength in local races. The People Power Party remains mired in turmoil, having cut off incumbent Kim Young-hwan—who secured a court injunction suspending the decision—and restarted its primary, leaving no confirmed challenger as of mid-April. This disarray elevates Shin's frontrunner status in the single-member district race. Potential shifts could arise from a strong PPP nominee like former police commissioner Yoon Hee-geun, scandals, or turnout swings in this battleground province.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于申永汉 93%
赵吉亨 2.5%
宋基燮 1.5%
尹熙根 1.4%
$23,206 交易量
$23,206 交易量
申永汉
93%
赵吉亨
3%
宋基燮
1%
尹熙根
1%
李钟培
1%
金英焕
<1%
都钟焕
<1%
卢英敏
<1%
申永汉 93%
赵吉亨 2.5%
宋基燮 1.5%
尹熙根 1.4%
$23,206 交易量
$23,206 交易量
申永汉
93%
赵吉亨
3%
宋基燮
1%
尹熙根
1%
李钟培
1%
金英焕
<1%
都钟焕
<1%
卢英敏
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 93.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by his April 4 confirmation as the Democratic Party of Korea candidate after defeating Noh Yeong-min in a runoff, bolstering party unity and momentum amid national polls showing opposition strength in local races. The People Power Party remains mired in turmoil, having cut off incumbent Kim Young-hwan—who secured a court injunction suspending the decision—and restarted its primary, leaving no confirmed challenger as of mid-April. This disarray elevates Shin's frontrunner status in the single-member district race. Potential shifts could arise from a strong PPP nominee like former police commissioner Yoon Hee-geun, scandals, or turnout swings in this battleground province.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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