Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哥伦比亚历史协议（PH） 99.6%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） <1%
民主中心党（CD） <1%
激进变革党（CR） <1%
$5,244,673 交易量
$5,244,673 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
哥伦比亚历史协议（PH）
100%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
<1%
民主中心党（CD）
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
<1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
<1%
绿色联盟
<1%
U党（Partido de la U）
<1%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
<1%
哥伦比亚历史协议（PH） 99.6%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） <1%
民主中心党（CD） <1%
激进变革党（CR） <1%
$5,244,673 交易量
$5,244,673 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
哥伦比亚历史协议（PH）
$373,877 交易量
100%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
$153,162 交易量
<1%
民主中心党（CD）
$183,395 交易量
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
$2,297,752 交易量
<1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
$157,383 交易量
<1%
绿色联盟
$30,558 交易量
<1%
U党（Partido de la U）
$973,140 交易量
<1%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
$1,075,406 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
交易量
$5,244,673结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$5,244,673结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题