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塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者

Market icon

塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者

争取民主联盟(DISY) 60%

进步党 27%

EDEK 3.4%

ELAM 1.4%

Polymarket

$11,163 交易量

争取民主联盟(DISY) 60%

进步党 27%

EDEK 3.4%

ELAM 1.4%

Polymarket

$11,163 交易量

争取民主联盟(DISY)

$3,036 交易量

60%

进步党

$1,405 交易量

32%

EDEK

$936 交易量

3%

ELAM

$895 交易量

1%

KOSP

$893 交易量

1%

DIKO

$1,006 交易量

1%

VOLT

$1,094 交易量

1%

DIPA

$922 交易量

1%

DNM(DEK)

$978 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's proportional representation parliamentary election on May 24, reflecting its historical edge as the 2021 plurality winner amid current fragmentation. Recent polls, including MRC Cypronetwork (March 10-26, tie at 23% each) and Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6, deadlock), show DISY and AKEL neck-and-neck with high undecided voters (up to 25%), yet DISY maintains a slight lead in trends and organizational strength. House dissolution on March 23 intensified campaigning, projecting a splintered House of Representatives with six-plus parties crossing the 3.67% threshold, complicating coalition negotiations. AKEL trails at 29.5% as smaller parties like ELAM (15%) dilute the left.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$11,163
结束日期
2026-05-24
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's proportional representation parliamentary election on May 24, reflecting its historical edge as the 2021 plurality winner amid current fragmentation. Recent polls, including MRC Cypronetwork (March 10-26, tie at 23% each) and Explorer for Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6, deadlock), show DISY and AKEL neck-and-neck with high undecided voters (up to 25%), yet DISY maintains a slight lead in trends and organizational strength. House dissolution on March 23 intensified campaigning, projecting a splintered House of Representatives with six-plus parties crossing the 3.67% threshold, complicating coalition negotiations. AKEL trails at 29.5% as smaller parties like ELAM (15%) dilute the left.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$11,163
结束日期
2026-05-24
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives. If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"争取民主联盟(DISY)",概率为 60%,其次是"进步党",概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 60¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 60%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者"已产生 $11.2K 的总交易量(自Dec 13, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"争取民主联盟(DISY)",概率为 60%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 60%。紧随其后的结果是"进步党",概率为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"塞浦路斯众议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。