Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, at 51% implied probability, driven by his blistering pace of 267 posts through the first six days (averaging 45 daily as of April 16 morning per X trackers). This sustained volume stems from recent viral engagements, including Tesla's full self-driving demo cruising LA streets, sharp critiques of OpenAI's nonprofit-to-profit shift amid his ongoing lawsuit, defenses of X's privacy against WhatsApp scandals, and boasts about Grok topping legal AI benchmarks. Echoing Musk's 2026 norm of 30-50 daily posts during controversy spikes, the market anticipates a mild slowdown on the final day, April 17, barring fresh AI or Tesla catalysts that could nudge totals into the 320-339 range (18% odds).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于300-319 51%
280-299 25.1%
320-339 17.4%
340-359 4.7%
$10,390,296 交易量
$10,390,296 交易量
2026-04-17
260-279
2%
280-299
25%
300-319
51%
320-339
17%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 51%
280-299 25.1%
320-339 17.4%
340-359 4.7%
$10,390,296 交易量
$10,390,296 交易量
2026-04-17
260-279
$710,685 交易量
2%
280-299
$461,337 交易量
25%
300-319
$354,443 交易量
51%
320-339
$462,607 交易量
17%
340-359
$402,978 交易量
5%
360-379
$422,522 交易量
2%
380-399
$380,381 交易量
<1%
400-419
$494,830 交易量
<1%
420-439
$430,731 交易量
<1%
440-459
$483,698 交易量
<1%
460-479
$342,850 交易量
<1%
480-499
$329,750 交易量
<1%
500-519
$264,248 交易量
<1%
520-539
$266,477 交易量
<1%
540-559
$270,374 交易量
<1%
560-579
$188,742 交易量
<1%
580+
$354,007 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, at 51% implied probability, driven by his blistering pace of 267 posts through the first six days (averaging 45 daily as of April 16 morning per X trackers). This sustained volume stems from recent viral engagements, including Tesla's full self-driving demo cruising LA streets, sharp critiques of OpenAI's nonprofit-to-profit shift amid his ongoing lawsuit, defenses of X's privacy against WhatsApp scandals, and boasts about Grok topping legal AI benchmarks. Echoing Musk's 2026 norm of 30-50 daily posts during controversy spikes, the market anticipates a mild slowdown on the final day, April 17, barring fresh AI or Tesla catalysts that could nudge totals into the 320-339 range (18% odds).
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,390,296结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, at 51% implied probability, driven by his blistering pace of 267 posts through the first six days (averaging 45 daily as of April 16 morning per X trackers). This sustained volume stems from recent viral engagements, including Tesla's full self-driving demo cruising LA streets, sharp critiques of OpenAI's nonprofit-to-profit shift amid his ongoing lawsuit, defenses of X's privacy against WhatsApp scandals, and boasts about Grok topping legal AI benchmarks. Echoing Musk's 2026 norm of 30-50 daily posts during controversy spikes, the market anticipates a mild slowdown on the final day, April 17, barring fresh AI or Tesla catalysts that could nudge totals into the 320-339 range (18% odds).
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$10,390,296结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, at 51% implied probability, driven by his blistering pace of 267 posts through the first six days (averaging 45 daily as of April 16 morning per X trackers). This sustained volume stems from recent viral engagements, including Tesla's full self-driving demo cruising LA streets, sharp critiques of OpenAI's nonprofit-to-profit shift amid his ongoing lawsuit, defenses of X's privacy against WhatsApp scandals, and boasts about Grok topping legal AI benchmarks. Echoing Musk's 2026 norm of 30-50 daily posts during controversy spikes, the market anticipates a mild slowdown on the final day, April 17, barring fresh AI or Tesla catalysts that could nudge totals into the 320-339 range (18% odds).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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