Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 26.5%, reflecting his recent 69-post tally over April 13-15—resolved squarely in the prior frontrunner range—amid steady non-reply activity on viral topics like South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws, Tesla Semi deployments, and SpaceX ground systems. This moderate pace aligns with historical patterns of 20-30 daily main feed posts, quotes, and reposts during business updates and cultural debates, excluding replies per market rules. Absent major catalysts like earnings or launches, extremes carry low odds, though AI hiring pushes or political flare-ups could spike volume before the April 18 noon ET close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$196,033 交易量
$196,033 交易量
2026-04-18
少于40条
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
20%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$196,033 交易量
$196,033 交易量
2026-04-18
少于40条
$33,570 交易量
4%
40-64
$11,838 交易量
27%
65-89
$6,599 交易量
39%
90-114
$8,414 交易量
20%
115-139
$11,635 交易量
11%
140-164
$11,744 交易量
3%
165-189
$20,518 交易量
1%
190-214
$27,320 交易量
<1%
215-239
$20,411 交易量
<1%
240+
$44,259 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 26.5%, reflecting his recent 69-post tally over April 13-15—resolved squarely in the prior frontrunner range—amid steady non-reply activity on viral topics like South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws, Tesla Semi deployments, and SpaceX ground systems. This moderate pace aligns with historical patterns of 20-30 daily main feed posts, quotes, and reposts during business updates and cultural debates, excluding replies per market rules. Absent major catalysts like earnings or launches, extremes carry low odds, though AI hiring pushes or political flare-ups could spike volume before the April 18 noon ET close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$196,033结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 26.5%, reflecting his recent 69-post tally over April 13-15—resolved squarely in the prior frontrunner range—amid steady non-reply activity on viral topics like South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws, Tesla Semi deployments, and SpaceX ground systems. This moderate pace aligns with historical patterns of 20-30 daily main feed posts, quotes, and reposts during business updates and cultural debates, excluding replies per market rules. Absent major catalysts like earnings or launches, extremes carry low odds, though AI hiring pushes or political flare-ups could spike volume before the April 18 noon ET close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$196,033结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 26.5%, reflecting his recent 69-post tally over April 13-15—resolved squarely in the prior frontrunner range—amid steady non-reply activity on viral topics like South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws, Tesla Semi deployments, and SpaceX ground systems. This moderate pace aligns with historical patterns of 20-30 daily main feed posts, quotes, and reposts during business updates and cultural debates, excluding replies per market rules. Absent major catalysts like earnings or launches, extremes carry low odds, though AI hiring pushes or political flare-ups could spike volume before the April 18 noon ET close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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