Trader consensus on Polymarket places 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting the exact resolution of the prior April 13-15 market to that 65-89 range amid steady posting rhythms. XTracker data shows 267 total posts from April 10 (partial) through early April 16, averaging 45 daily but tapering to ~30 per day recently, driven by consistent engagement on viral South Africa racism commentary, Grok benchmark dominance, and Tesla FSD demos without major spikes. No breaking news in the last 48 hours alters this pace, though weekend dynamics or sudden company announcements could swing volumes higher, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these high-volume celebrity social media markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 39%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$199,577 交易量
$199,577 交易量
2026-04-18
少于40条
4%
40-64
28%
65-89
39%
90-114
20%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$199,577 交易量
$199,577 交易量
2026-04-18
少于40条
$34,543 交易量
4%
40-64
$12,030 交易量
28%
65-89
$6,869 交易量
39%
90-114
$8,491 交易量
20%
115-139
$11,934 交易量
11%
140-164
$11,815 交易量
3%
165-189
$20,594 交易量
1%
190-214
$27,391 交易量
<1%
215-239
$20,482 交易量
<1%
240+
$45,446 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting the exact resolution of the prior April 13-15 market to that 65-89 range amid steady posting rhythms. XTracker data shows 267 total posts from April 10 (partial) through early April 16, averaging 45 daily but tapering to ~30 per day recently, driven by consistent engagement on viral South Africa racism commentary, Grok benchmark dominance, and Tesla FSD demos without major spikes. No breaking news in the last 48 hours alters this pace, though weekend dynamics or sudden company announcements could swing volumes higher, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these high-volume celebrity social media markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$199,577结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting the exact resolution of the prior April 13-15 market to that 65-89 range amid steady posting rhythms. XTracker data shows 267 total posts from April 10 (partial) through early April 16, averaging 45 daily but tapering to ~30 per day recently, driven by consistent engagement on viral South Africa racism commentary, Grok benchmark dominance, and Tesla FSD demos without major spikes. No breaking news in the last 48 hours alters this pace, though weekend dynamics or sudden company announcements could swing volumes higher, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these high-volume celebrity social media markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$199,577结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket places 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 16-18 at 38.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting the exact resolution of the prior April 13-15 market to that 65-89 range amid steady posting rhythms. XTracker data shows 267 total posts from April 10 (partial) through early April 16, averaging 45 daily but tapering to ~30 per day recently, driven by consistent engagement on viral South Africa racism commentary, Grok benchmark dominance, and Tesla FSD demos without major spikes. No breaking news in the last 48 hours alters this pace, though weekend dynamics or sudden company announcements could swing volumes higher, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these high-volume celebrity social media markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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