Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 4-6 at a moderate 65-114 total, with the 65-89 bin edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid a tight contest against 90-114 (27.5%), reflecting his variable daily volume of 25-35 posts recently. This stems from the March 30-April 1 period resolving in the higher 90-114 range (roughly 30-38 daily), but a perceived slowdown following Tesla's disappointing Q1 sales announcement on April 2, which drew fewer responses than prior spikes tied to xAI Grok updates and political memes. Key swing factors include weekend posting patterns—Elon often ramps up engagement during non-workdays—and potential catalysts like SpaceX news or viral discourse, as markets near the April 7 chart lock with no major events confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
最新
$135,588 交易量
最新
$135,588 交易量
2026-04-06
<40
3%
40-64
20%
65-89
33%
90-114
28%
115-139
14%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
最新
$135,588 交易量
最新
$135,588 交易量
2026-04-06
<40
$10,246 交易量
3%
40-64
$6,462 交易量
20%
65-89
$2,400 交易量
33%
90-114
$5,156 交易量
28%
115-139
$5,398 交易量
14%
140-164
$5,914 交易量
3%
165-189
$11,577 交易量
1%
190-214
$12,645 交易量
<1%
215-239
$36,333 交易量
<1%
240+
$39,856 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 4-6 at a moderate 65-114 total, with the 65-89 bin edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid a tight contest against 90-114 (27.5%), reflecting his variable daily volume of 25-35 posts recently. This stems from the March 30-April 1 period resolving in the higher 90-114 range (roughly 30-38 daily), but a perceived slowdown following Tesla's disappointing Q1 sales announcement on April 2, which drew fewer responses than prior spikes tied to xAI Grok updates and political memes. Key swing factors include weekend posting patterns—Elon often ramps up engagement during non-workdays—and potential catalysts like SpaceX news or viral discourse, as markets near the April 7 chart lock with no major events confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
交易量
$135,588结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 4-6 at a moderate 65-114 total, with the 65-89 bin edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid a tight contest against 90-114 (27.5%), reflecting his variable daily volume of 25-35 posts recently. This stems from the March 30-April 1 period resolving in the higher 90-114 range (roughly 30-38 daily), but a perceived slowdown following Tesla's disappointing Q1 sales announcement on April 2, which drew fewer responses than prior spikes tied to xAI Grok updates and political memes. Key swing factors include weekend posting patterns—Elon often ramps up engagement during non-workdays—and potential catalysts like SpaceX news or viral discourse, as markets near the April 7 chart lock with no major events confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$135,588结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts for April 4-6 at a moderate 65-114 total, with the 65-89 bin edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid a tight contest against 90-114 (27.5%), reflecting his variable daily volume of 25-35 posts recently. This stems from the March 30-April 1 period resolving in the higher 90-114 range (roughly 30-38 daily), but a perceived slowdown following Tesla's disappointing Q1 sales announcement on April 2, which drew fewer responses than prior spikes tied to xAI Grok updates and political memes. Key swing factors include weekend posting patterns—Elon often ramps up engagement during non-workdays—and potential catalysts like SpaceX news or viral discourse, as markets near the April 7 chart lock with no major events confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题