Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets over April 6-8 at 33.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28.5%), capturing his recent lull in X activity averaging 20-30 posts daily—far below historical peaks of 70+ during political clashes or Tesla launches. The past 48 hours featured just a handful of replies and quotes on X API upgrades and White House announcements, signaling subdued engagement without major catalysts like xAI reveals or viral controversies. This tight race hinges on early-week momentum: a quiet period sustains lower bins, while any product teases or news spikes could propel toward 90-114 (24.5%), underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's real-time social media bursts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于65-89 34%
40-64 30%
90-114 25%
115-139 11%
最新
$92,701 交易量
最新
$92,701 交易量
2026-04-08
少于40条
4%
40-64
30%
65-89
34%
90-114
25%
115-139
11%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 34%
40-64 30%
90-114 25%
115-139 11%
最新
$92,701 交易量
最新
$92,701 交易量
2026-04-08
少于40条
$8,625 交易量
4%
40-64
$1,975 交易量
30%
65-89
$1,595 交易量
34%
90-114
$1,281 交易量
25%
115-139
$1,638 交易量
11%
140-164
$3,056 交易量
2%
165-189
$6,223 交易量
1%
190-214
$20,492 交易量
<1%
215-239
$17,942 交易量
<1%
240+
$31,545 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets over April 6-8 at 33.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28.5%), capturing his recent lull in X activity averaging 20-30 posts daily—far below historical peaks of 70+ during political clashes or Tesla launches. The past 48 hours featured just a handful of replies and quotes on X API upgrades and White House announcements, signaling subdued engagement without major catalysts like xAI reveals or viral controversies. This tight race hinges on early-week momentum: a quiet period sustains lower bins, while any product teases or news spikes could propel toward 90-114 (24.5%), underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's real-time social media bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$92,701结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets over April 6-8 at 33.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28.5%), capturing his recent lull in X activity averaging 20-30 posts daily—far below historical peaks of 70+ during political clashes or Tesla launches. The past 48 hours featured just a handful of replies and quotes on X API upgrades and White House announcements, signaling subdued engagement without major catalysts like xAI reveals or viral controversies. This tight race hinges on early-week momentum: a quiet period sustains lower bins, while any product teases or news spikes could propel toward 90-114 (24.5%), underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's real-time social media bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$92,701结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 tweets over April 6-8 at 33.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 (28.5%), capturing his recent lull in X activity averaging 20-30 posts daily—far below historical peaks of 70+ during political clashes or Tesla launches. The past 48 hours featured just a handful of replies and quotes on X API upgrades and White House announcements, signaling subdued engagement without major catalysts like xAI reveals or viral controversies. This tight race hinges on early-week momentum: a quiet period sustains lower bins, while any product teases or news spikes could propel toward 90-114 (24.5%), underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's real-time social media bursts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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