Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 交易量
$155,810 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 交易量
$155,810 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
$3,964 交易量
No
18°C
$5,883 交易量
No
19°C
$23,349 交易量
No
20°C
$25,078 交易量
No
21°C
$27,942 交易量
No
22°C
$22,234 交易量
Yes
23°C
$18,026 交易量
No
24°C
$8,090 交易量
No
25°C
$8,197 交易量
No
26°C
$5,830 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$7,216 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$155,810结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$155,810结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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