Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 交易量
$85,935 交易量
2026-05-09
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 交易量
$85,935 交易量
2026-05-09
21°C or below
$1,631 交易量
No
22°C
$1,176 交易量
No
23°C
$3,076 交易量
No
24°C
$4,886 交易量
No
25°C
$4,221 交易量
No
26°C
$8,398 交易量
No
27°C
$7,745 交易量
No
28°C
$22,723 交易量
No
29°C
$12,777 交易量
Yes
30°C
$11,974 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$7,328 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$85,935结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,935结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题