Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月1日休斯顿的最高温度？
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
3%
108°F或更高
1%
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
89°F或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$20 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$10 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$10 交易量
8%
96-97°F
$94 交易量
29%
98-99°F
$131 交易量
42%
100-101°F
$39 交易量
16%
102-103°F
$10 交易量
7%
104-105°F
$21 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$15 交易量
3%
108°F或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$326结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$326结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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