Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 交易量
$50,850 交易量
2026-05-01
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 交易量
$50,850 交易量
2026-05-01
53°F or below
$123 交易量
No
54-55°F
$122 交易量
No
56-57°F
$863 交易量
No
58-59°F
$479 交易量
No
60-61°F
$3,551 交易量
No
62-63°F
$3,727 交易量
No
64-65°F
$4,910 交易量
No
66-67°F
$8,347 交易量
No
68-69°F
$11,518 交易量
Yes
70-71°F
$8,356 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$8,854 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$50,850结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$50,850结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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