Current forecasts from NOAA and major models indicate a typical mid-summer pattern for New York City, with the daily minimum temperature on August 3 most likely falling in the mid-70s°F range amid weak high pressure and light winds that limit overnight cooling. Historical baselines show average August lows near 70°F at LaGuardia Airport, but recent ensemble runs point to slightly elevated readings due to above-normal sea surface temperatures in the coastal Atlantic and limited cold air advection. Trader consensus around 74–77°F reflects this guidance, while lower-probability bins below 72°F would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated in short-range models. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings through the morning of August 3 remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日纽约市最低气温？
8月3日纽约市最低气温？
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
65°F或以下
$15 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$25 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$154 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$40 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$23 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$14 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$1 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$589 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$595 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and major models indicate a typical mid-summer pattern for New York City, with the daily minimum temperature on August 3 most likely falling in the mid-70s°F range amid weak high pressure and light winds that limit overnight cooling. Historical baselines show average August lows near 70°F at LaGuardia Airport, but recent ensemble runs point to slightly elevated readings due to above-normal sea surface temperatures in the coastal Atlantic and limited cold air advection. Trader consensus around 74–77°F reflects this guidance, while lower-probability bins below 72°F would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated in short-range models. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings through the morning of August 3 remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,462结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and major models indicate a typical mid-summer pattern for New York City, with the daily minimum temperature on August 3 most likely falling in the mid-70s°F range amid weak high pressure and light winds that limit overnight cooling. Historical baselines show average August lows near 70°F at LaGuardia Airport, but recent ensemble runs point to slightly elevated readings due to above-normal sea surface temperatures in the coastal Atlantic and limited cold air advection. Trader consensus around 74–77°F reflects this guidance, while lower-probability bins below 72°F would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated in short-range models. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings through the morning of August 3 remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,462结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from NOAA and major models indicate a typical mid-summer pattern for New York City, with the daily minimum temperature on August 3 most likely falling in the mid-70s°F range amid weak high pressure and light winds that limit overnight cooling. Historical baselines show average August lows near 70°F at LaGuardia Airport, but recent ensemble runs point to slightly elevated readings due to above-normal sea surface temperatures in the coastal Atlantic and limited cold air advection. Trader consensus around 74–77°F reflects this guidance, while lower-probability bins below 72°F would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated in short-range models. Updated NHC and local NWS briefings through the morning of August 3 remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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