PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 交易量
$43,646 交易量
2026-04-29
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 交易量
$43,646 交易量
2026-04-29
30°C or below
$1,149 交易量
No
31°C
$1,191 交易量
No
32°C
$2,807 交易量
No
33°C
$2,724 交易量
No
34°C
$3,882 交易量
No
35°C
$1,710 交易量
No
36°C
$6,589 交易量
No
37°C
$8,962 交易量
Yes
38°C
$7,446 交易量
No
39°C
$1,940 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$5,247 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$43,646结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$43,646结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题