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icon for 8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?

8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?

icon for 8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?

8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?

32°C 50%

31°C 24%

33°C 23%

30°C 4%

Polymarket

$7,729 交易量

32°C 50%

31°C 24%

33°C 23%

30°C 4%

Polymarket

$7,729 交易量

26°C或以下

$183 交易量

<1%

27°C

$178 交易量

<1%

28°C

$322 交易量

<1%

29°C

$462 交易量

1%

30°C

$643 交易量

4%

31°C

$1,160 交易量

24%

32°C

$2,734 交易量

50%

33°C

$1,036 交易量

23%

34°C

$450 交易量

1%

35°C

$233 交易量

<1%

36°C或更高

$327 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources for Panama City, Florida, project a daily maximum air temperature near 90°F (32°C) on August 26, 2026, under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 49.5%, followed by 33°C at 25.0% and 31°C at 22.5%. Typical late-August conditions in this subtropical location feature strong daytime solar heating moderated by high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential convective cloud buildup or sea-breeze effects that can limit peak temperatures. Heat-index values may reach 105°F due to moisture, but actual dry-bulb highs remain constrained near the 89–91°F range across model guidance. No unusual atmospheric setup or recent trend shifts—such as anomalous warming or persistent cloud cover—have altered the consensus, keeping probabilities centered on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with climatological norms and current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the official NWS point forecast most heavily while allowing modest room for slight variations from storm timing or observational adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,729
结束日期
2026-08-26
市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources for Panama City, Florida, project a daily maximum air temperature near 90°F (32°C) on August 26, 2026, under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 49.5%, followed by 33°C at 25.0% and 31°C at 22.5%. Typical late-August conditions in this subtropical location feature strong daytime solar heating moderated by high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential convective cloud buildup or sea-breeze effects that can limit peak temperatures. Heat-index values may reach 105°F due to moisture, but actual dry-bulb highs remain constrained near the 89–91°F range across model guidance. No unusual atmospheric setup or recent trend shifts—such as anomalous warming or persistent cloud cover—have altered the consensus, keeping probabilities centered on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with climatological norms and current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the official NWS point forecast most heavily while allowing modest room for slight variations from storm timing or observational adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,729
结束日期
2026-08-26
市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"32°C",概率为 50%,其次是"31°C",概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?"的当前领先者是"32°C",概率为 50%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"31°C",概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。