**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources for Panama City, Florida, project a daily maximum air temperature near 90°F (32°C) on August 26, 2026, under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 49.5%, followed by 33°C at 25.0% and 31°C at 22.5%. Typical late-August conditions in this subtropical location feature strong daytime solar heating moderated by high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential convective cloud buildup or sea-breeze effects that can limit peak temperatures. Heat-index values may reach 105°F due to moisture, but actual dry-bulb highs remain constrained near the 89–91°F range across model guidance. No unusual atmospheric setup or recent trend shifts—such as anomalous warming or persistent cloud cover—have altered the consensus, keeping probabilities centered on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with climatological norms and current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the official NWS point forecast most heavily while allowing modest room for slight variations from storm timing or observational adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 4%
$7,729 交易量
$7,729 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
50%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 4%
$7,729 交易量
$7,729 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
50%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources for Panama City, Florida, project a daily maximum air temperature near 90°F (32°C) on August 26, 2026, under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C holds the highest implied probability at 49.5%, followed by 33°C at 25.0% and 31°C at 22.5%. Typical late-August conditions in this subtropical location feature strong daytime solar heating moderated by high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential convective cloud buildup or sea-breeze effects that can limit peak temperatures. Heat-index values may reach 105°F due to moisture, but actual dry-bulb highs remain constrained near the 89–91°F range across model guidance. No unusual atmospheric setup or recent trend shifts—such as anomalous warming or persistent cloud cover—have altered the consensus, keeping probabilities centered on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with climatological norms and current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the official NWS point forecast most heavily while allowing modest room for slight variations from storm timing or observational adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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