Recent cold front passage has cooled Sao Paulo ahead of August 24, with official forecasts from INMET-aligned models and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus showing a cloudy, breezy southeasterly flow limiting daytime heating to a maximum near 18–21 °C. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers suppress insolation compared with recent sunny days that reached 25–30 °C, while dew points near 12–14 °C and moderate humidity further constrain the daily range. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble spreads hinge on small differences in cloud timing and wind strength; updated model runs overnight or early on the 24th could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 23 °C underscore how this transient cool anomaly is the dominant near-term driver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日圣保罗的最高温度?
20°C 33%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
33%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
33%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold front passage has cooled Sao Paulo ahead of August 24, with official forecasts from INMET-aligned models and international agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF consensus showing a cloudy, breezy southeasterly flow limiting daytime heating to a maximum near 18–21 °C. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud cover and light showers suppress insolation compared with recent sunny days that reached 25–30 °C, while dew points near 12–14 °C and moderate humidity further constrain the daily range. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–21 °C because ensemble spreads hinge on small differences in cloud timing and wind strength; updated model runs overnight or early on the 24th could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 23 °C underscore how this transient cool anomaly is the dominant near-term driver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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