Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,595,708 交易量
2026-06-30
4月15日
1%
4月30日
21%
5月31日
29%
6月30日
28%
$1,595,708 交易量
4月15日
$203,988 交易量
1%
4月30日
$190,216 交易量
21%
5月31日
$76,276 交易量
29%
6月30日
$435,286 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
交易量
$1,595,708结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,595,708结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching their first ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel since the US-Israel war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, with strikes on March 28, followed by additional barrages on March 29, April 1, 2, and 4 targeting southern Israeli military sites and infrastructure like Ben Gurion Airport. Israel's aerial defenses intercepted all threats with no casualties or damage reported, prompting statements of impending response while consulting Washington. No Israeli airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have materialized in the past 30 days, amid a nine-day lull in Houthi launches as of April 15 signaling possible de-escalation. Traders monitor diplomatic talks, potential coalition retaliation from Yemen bases, and Houthi threats of gradual escalation for shifts in military action probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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